Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.339778 3.905210 4.504992 5.185405 5.932684 6.725355 7.626658
2025-01-05 2.552528 3.337280 4.229781 5.306208 6.555652 7.947330 9.601554
2025-01-12 1.973624 2.873953 3.966605 5.357370 7.048100 9.006341 11.414917
2025-01-19 1.503168 2.442660 3.658046 5.284703 7.345443 9.813686 12.937123
2025-01-26 1.216933 2.189689 3.522427 5.384416 7.824634 10.826595 14.710257
2025-02-02 0.994780 1.979562 3.404899 5.476059 8.273029 11.794027 16.434836
2025-02-09 0.761677 1.703480 3.153061 5.349992 8.410453 12.353893 17.648419
2025-02-16 0.579698 1.467948 2.923883 5.222989 8.521179 12.863113 18.790948
2025-02-23 0.462426 1.317210 2.800959 5.229426 8.800754 13.586523 20.209909
2025-03-02 0.351922 1.149598 2.625792 5.136247 8.924646 14.094019 21.346834
2025-03-09 0.305530 1.102807 2.646033 5.339220 9.473022 15.180219 23.258024
2025-03-16 0.241807 0.998117 2.549639 5.346179 9.728701 15.865324 24.642044
2025-03-23 0.215064 0.978813 2.610733 5.617310 10.394462 17.145886 26.867598
2025-03-30 0.186147 0.945334 2.640784 5.837391 10.989723 18.340906 28.999611
2025-04-06 0.150837 0.880731 2.601206 5.934939 11.398485 19.279283 30.796216
2025-04-13 0.110883 0.782137 2.477900 5.876560 11.559579 19.864233 32.113829
2025-04-20 0.089338 0.735170 2.456147 5.992803 11.993539 20.844616 33.986685
2025-04-27 0.070924 0.689272 2.429501 6.095563 12.404916 21.795159 35.826106
2025-05-04 0.046685 0.597079 2.281392 5.961803 12.427063 22.173210 36.866403
2025-05-11 0.029032 0.514427 2.139539 5.825890 12.435330 22.524783 37.868058
2025-05-18 0.019579 0.466188 2.075201 5.833215 12.677162 23.223996 39.367144
2025-05-25 0.011056 0.404476 1.961966 5.732989 12.731156 23.637977 40.460516
2025-06-01 0.008883 0.398604 2.004727 5.951732 13.332685 24.888381 42.766403